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HOME/GUIDES/SPACEX VALUATION
GUIDE

SpaceX Valuation (2026): The $1.75 Trillion IPO, Priced This Week

SpaceX lists on Nasdaq as SPCX on June 12 at $135/share — a ~$75B raise, the largest IPO ever, with xAI absorbed inside. The full valuation ladder from $46B to $1.75T, and what the S-1 finally revealed.

Bryan Altman
Bryan Altman
Founder, Teahose · angel investor & builder
Updated 2026-06-23

Update — June 16, 2026: SpaceX is now public, and worth ~$2.6 trillion. SpaceX began trading on the Nasdaq as SPCX on June 12, 2026 at its $135 IPO price — a raise that came in near $86B (the largest IPO in history), even though only ~4% of shares were floated — and closed its first session up ~19% at $160.95. The re-rating was violent: by June 16 SPCX had peaked near $2.9 trillion before settling around $2.6 trillion, briefly passing Amazon to become the world's ~5th-most-valuable company and nearly eclipsing Microsoft — even as Michael Burry publicly trashed a "$3T" mark and NYU's Aswath Damodaran published a post-prospectus valuation well below the trading price (CNBC, TechCrunch, Barron's). The live SPCX market cap — not a tender offer — now sets the number; the pre-IPO analysis below is preserved as written June 10, two days before the listing.

As of June 10, 2026, SpaceX is 48 hours from the largest IPO in history. The offer: $135 per share (post 5-for-1 split), ~555.6M shares, a ~$75B raise at a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation — pricing after close on June 11, first Nasdaq trade June 12, ticker SPCX (Fortune, S-1).

Key takeaways

  • IPO: $135/share → ~$1.75–1.77T, Nasdaq SPCX, lists June 12, 2026. Largest raise ever (~$75B, more than double the prior record).
  • The company includes xAI, acquired February 2, 2026 (all-stock, $1.25T combined at the time).
  • S-1 financials (first ever): $18.7B revenue 2025 — Starlink $11.4B (+50%, $4.4B operating profit), launch ~$4B (−$657M), xAI segment $3.2B (−$6.4B). Net: a $4.94B GAAP loss.
  • Private-market ladder before this: $350B (Dec 2024) → ~$400B (Jul 2025) → ~$800B (Dec 2025 tender) → $1.25T (xAI merger) → $1.75T (IPO).

Share of voice: the companies this guide covers, by mentions across Teahose's 1,150+ expert AI conversations
Share of voice: the companies this guide covers, by mentions across Teahose's 1,150+ expert AI conversations

Each bar counts how many of Teahose's 1,150+ expert summaries mention it (word-boundary match across our podcast, newsletter, and paper corpus, June 2026).

Track the field: find the companies most similar to Anthropic and get their latest funding and product signals by email — Teahose Lookalikes.

SpaceX is one of the most-discussed names on Teahose: it's mentioned in 247 of the 1,150+ expert podcast, newsletter and research summaries we've analyzed (June 2026), so the live signal feed below is unusually deep.

Valuation History: $46B → $1.75T in Six Years

SpaceX never needed an IPO to have a price — its ~semiannual tender offers (company-set prices at which insiders could sell) were the canonical marks:

DateEventValuation
Jun 2026 (now)Public — SPCX trading (debut +19% → $160.95; passed Amazon, neared Microsoft)~$2.2T day one → peak ~$2.9T → ~$2.6T (Jun 16)
Jun 2026IPO @ $135/share (Nasdaq: SPCX)~$1.75–1.77T
Feb 2026xAI merger (all-stock)$1.25T combined
Dec 2025Tender @ $421/share (pre-split)~$800B
Jul 2025Insider sale @ $212/share~$400B
Dec 2024Secondary @ $185/share$350B
Jun 2024Tender$210B
Dec 2023Tender$180B
Jan 2023Primary round ($750M)$137B
Oct 2021Tender$100B
Feb 2021Round led by Sequoia$74B
Aug 2020$1.9B round$46B

Sources: tender history — Sacra · Dec 2025 — Forge · merger — CNBC · IPO terms — Capital.com/Reuters. The doubling from $800B to $1.75T in six months came via the xAI merger plus IPO pricing, not a new operating result.

What the S-1 Finally Showed

Two decades of guessing at SpaceX's financials ended May 20, 2026. The real anatomy (Morningstar's chart breakdown, CNBC):

Segment2025 revenueOperating result
Starlink$11.4B (61%)+$4.4B (39% margin)
Launch~$4B (22%)−$657M
AI (xAI: Grok, X, data centers)$3.2B (17%)−$6.4B

Starlink is the company. Subscribers went 2.3M → 4.4M → 8.9M over 2023–2025, revenue +49.8% in 2025, at margins launch never had. The launch business — the thing SpaceX is famous for — loses money. And the AI segment burned $6.4B in operating losses plus $12.7B of 2025 capex (then $7.7B in Q1 2026 alone) building the Colossus compute complex (TechCrunch).

So the $1.75T question is really: what's a satellite-internet cash machine funding a frontier-AI capex furnace worth? Morningstar's answer was less than half the asking price. The order book's answer arrives June 11. Notably, the long-promised Starlink-only spin-off IPO is dead — the whole-company listing replaced it.

Getting Exposure (and What Dies on June 12)

The listing ends the strangest corner of retail finance: paying premiums for indirect SpaceX exposure. Destiny Tech100 (DXYZ) traded at multiples of NAV largely for its ~16% SpaceX sleeve; ARK Venture, Baron Partners, and Scottish Mortgage carried slugs; accredited investors paid $20K–100K minimums on EquityZen, Hiive, and Forge. As of June 10, Forge's secondary print was $128.84 — just under the $135 offer. From June 12, exposure is one ticker: SPCX.

Latest SpaceX Signals, Live

Live from the Teahose intel graph

SpaceX Funding & Deal Signals

Extracted live from podcasts, newsletters & primary coverage by the Teahose intel pipeline

  1. 01M&ACursor is now part of SpaceX's AI infrastructure effort.SEP 1 · DwarkeshSEP 1
  2. 02M&AOpenAI plans to stop providing its models to Cursor on Nov. 12 following the coding startup's acquisition by Elon Musk's SpaceX.AUG 29 · StrictlyVCAUG 29
  3. 03FUNDINGCredits to Sean when he brought in the SpaceX investment. We vote on companies. I think someone voted a one.AUG 24 · 20VCAUG 24
  4. 04M&AAn AI-powered code editor, acquired by SpaceX for $60 billion — described as the largest private M&A transaction ever for an independent venture-backed company.AUG 22 · The a16z Show$60B
  5. 05M&ASpaceX this week closed its acquisition of Cursor for $60 billion in stock, the largest buyout ever of a venture-backed startup.AUG 21 · Newcomer Newsletter$60B
  6. 06M&ASpaceX completed its $60 billion acquisition of AI coding startup Cursor on August 14, 2026. This colossal deal reshapes the AI sector.AUG 20 · Parsers VC$60B
  7. 07M&ASpaceX's $60 billion acquisition of Cursor, another AI coding startup, whose deal closed last weekAUG 20 · StrictlyVC$60000B
  8. 08M&AElon has the biggest advantage, which is his stock is trading... it's still 40 times revenues. Picking up a big asset at 15 times current revenues, maybe less than 10 times year-enAUG 20 · 20VC$60B
  9. 09M&AThe space giant led by Elon Musk completed its $60 billion all-stock acquisition. Cursor turns SpaceX's xAI investment from an infrastructure bet into a vertically integrated enterAUG 17 · PitchBook News$60B
  10. 10M&ASpaceX on Friday completed its $60 billion acquisition of Cursor, the largest acquisition ever of a VC-backed startup.AUG 17 · Axios Pro Rata$60B
Updated continuously as new signals landFull SpaceX signal history

What to Watch Next

  1. The first trade, June 12. A pop validates the fixed-price experiment at trillion-dollar scale; a break below $135 hands Morningstar the narrative.
  2. Index inclusion. A $1.75T listing forces S&P/Nasdaq index questions fast — and with them, forced buying measured in tens of billions.
  3. The xAI segment's burn curve. Q1 2026 capex annualizes to ~$31B; the first earnings calls will show whether Starlink's margin can keep paying for it.

Hit Watch on SpaceX's company profile for new signals by email. Related: top space companies, ranked · xAI valuation (the absorbed company's full story) · Anthropic valuation · Tesla competitors · pre-IPO companies to watch in 2026 · what is a secondary market for private shares.

Written June 10, 2026 — two days before listing. Editorial figures are as of that date; the signal feed above updates continuously.

Bottom line: SpaceX is worth ~$1.75–1.77 trillion at its June 12 Nasdaq debut (SPCX, $135/share) — a price that bets Starlink's $11.4B cash machine can keep funding the launch and xAI losses, with the market, not a tender offer, finally setting the number.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has SpaceX (SPCX) stock performed since the IPO?

SpaceX listed on the Nasdaq as SPCX on June 12, 2026 at its $135 offer price and closed the first day up about 19% at $160.95 — one of the largest IPO-day trading volumes in Nasdaq history. It kept climbing: by June 16 it peaked near a $2.9 trillion valuation before settling around $2.6 trillion, briefly passing Amazon to become the world's ~5th-most-valuable company and nearly eclipsing Microsoft. Because it is now public, the live SPCX market cap — not a private tender offer — is the real-time answer to "what is SpaceX worth."

Is SpaceX bigger than Amazon?

Briefly, by market cap — yes. In the week after its June 12, 2026 debut, SpaceX's valuation surged past $2.6 trillion and momentarily edged above Amazon before settling back. On fundamentals the two are not comparable: SpaceX posted a $4.9 billion loss on $18.7 billion of 2025 revenue, while Amazon earned a $78 billion profit on $717 billion in sales — which is exactly the bull-versus-bear debate the listing crystallized.

What is SpaceX worth in 2026?

About $1.75–1.77 trillion at its IPO price: the offering was set at $135/share (after a 5-for-1 split) across ~555.6M shares, raising ~$75 billion — the largest IPO in history. Pricing completes June 11, 2026, with the first Nasdaq trade on June 12 under ticker SPCX. After that, "SpaceX's valuation" stops being a private-market estimate and becomes a live market cap. (Update: it now is — SPCX began trading June 12, 2026 and re-rated past $2.6 trillion within its first week, well above the $135 IPO price.)

How can I buy SpaceX stock?

From June 12, 2026, on any brokerage: Nasdaq ticker SPCX. The entire pre-IPO workaround ecosystem — Destiny Tech100 (DXYZ, ~16% SpaceX but trading far above NAV), ARK Venture Fund, Baron Partners, EquityZen/Forge secondaries with $20K–100K minimums — exists because this wasn't possible. It now is, at the same price institutions paid.

Does SpaceX own xAI?

Yes. SpaceX acquired xAI on February 2, 2026 in an all-stock deal valuing the combination at $1.25 trillion (SpaceX $1T + xAI $250B; 1 xAI share converted to 0.1433 SpaceX shares). Musk's stated rationale: orbital data centers — launch + Starlink + AI compute as one stack. The S-1 reports xAI as SpaceX's AI segment: $3.2B of 2025 revenue and a $6.4B operating loss.

Is SpaceX profitable?

Mixed — and the S-1 made it public for the first time. 2025 consolidated revenue was $18.7B: Starlink earned $11.4B with a $4.4B operating profit (39% margin, 8.9M subscribers), launch lost $657M on ~$4B, and the xAI segment lost $6.4B on $3.2B. The combined entity posted a $4.94B GAAP loss. The investment story is precisely Starlink's cash machine funding the AI bet.

Is the SpaceX IPO overvalued?

The most prominent bear: Morningstar put fair value at less than half the $1.75T target. At ~94x revenue overall, the price embeds Starlink compounding, Starship working commercially, and the xAI/orbital-compute thesis paying off. The bull response is that Starlink alone grew ~50% to $11.4B at a 39% operating margin — a business with almost no comparable. The market votes June 12.

What is the SpaceX IPO ticker symbol and when does it list?

SpaceX lists on the Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX. Pricing completes after the close on June 11, 2026, with the first public trade on June 12, 2026 at the $135/share offer price (post 5-for-1 split). Until that first trade, every "SpaceX valuation" number is a private-market mark from a tender offer or secondary sale, not a live market cap.

How does SpaceX make money?

Per the 2025 S-1, SpaceX has three segments. Starlink satellite internet is the engine: 11.4 billion dollars of revenue (61 percent of the total) and a 4.4 billion dollar operating profit at a 39 percent margin off 8.9 million subscribers. The launch business — the part SpaceX is famous for — brought in roughly 4 billion dollars but lost 657 million. The xAI/AI segment added 3.2 billion in revenue while losing 6.4 billion. So Starlink cash is effectively funding the launch and AI bets.

Is SpaceX in the S&P 500 or any index funds?

Not before it trades. Index funds could not hold SpaceX while it was private, which is exactly why workaround vehicles like Destiny Tech100 (DXYZ) traded at large premiums to net asset value. A 1.75 trillion dollar listing forces S&P 500 and Nasdaq index-eligibility questions almost immediately, and index inclusion would trigger mechanical buying measured in tens of billions of dollars. Watch the float and seasoning rules after the June 12 debut.