Jake Paul & The Chainsmokers: Turning Fame into Funds, Jake Enters Politics? & Venture Bubble Signs
- 01Attention Is the New Distribution Moat, and Capital Is a Commodity
- 02The Flywheel: Using One Audience to Feed Many Businesses
- 03Replicating a Proven Model in a New Vertical (Team 10 to MVP)
- 04The Incumbent's Margin Is Your Opportunity: Fighter Economics
- 05Fame Gets You the Meeting; Only DPI Gets You the Fund
- 06Bubble Signals in Late-Stage Venture
1. Key Themes
Attention Is the New Distribution Moat, and Capital Is a Commodity
Jake Paul's investing thesis is that attention, not money, is the scarce asset, and that founders now want it on their cap table. He ties it to how Elon Musk uses X. Jake Paul said: "we believe that we're in the attention economy and that capital is a commodity. And I think this is part of Elon buying Twitter. When you make a new account on Twitter, the first suggested follow is Elon pumping all of his companies through that." 00:12:00 The Chainsmokers echo the idea from the venture side, arguing that in an AI world where tech is easily copied, distribution is the defense: "the brand building side of things... has become really important nowadays when you talk about, like, the indefensibility that AI has created around tech. You really need to, like, suck the oxygen." 00:34:49
The Flywheel: Using One Audience to Feed Many Businesses
Jake Paul describes his empire as a self-reinforcing loop in which each activity feeds the others. He said: "it's a flywheel that feeds itself. You know, when I'm fighting, it brings attention to all of my other businesses. And when I'm, you know, investing, it's growing my business brand... when I'm making content, it also helps me grow my following to funnel things into fighting." 00:16:32 The Chainsmokers run the same pattern: a distribution platform (the band) made them "catnip for consumer brands," which became access to investing. David Friedberg summarized it: "you have some attention and fame, you develop some mastery, and then you've got to translate it into something." 00:52:06
Replicating a Proven Model in a New Vertical (Team 10 to MVP)
Jake Paul built a talent-incubation model with influencers at Team 10, then ported it to combat sports. He said: "I had this built-in audience of 100 million followers that followed along through every fight. And that I could also grow and build fighters underneath me. Similar to my original startup, Team 10, where it was influencers. So I just replicated that model. And now we have 400 fighters boxing MMA under MVP." 00:10:00 The merger with PFL is the next step in going after the UFC.
The Incumbent's Margin Is Your Opportunity: Fighter Economics
Jake Paul's attack on the UFC is a classic labor-arbitrage thesis: pay the talent more and own the supply. He said: "they pay their fighters roughly 15% of their total revenue. Which in other professional sports leagues, it's 50%." 00:10:37 Friedberg labeled it "your margin, my opportunity" 00:11:13, and Jake Paul added the Coke/Pepsi, Nike/Adidas framing: "never before has it been possible to compete with the UFC until my company came into the fold. And we just merged with PFL." 00:11:23
Fame Gets You the Meeting; Only DPI Gets You the Fund
Both guests are preoccupied with converting celebrity into credibility through returns. Jake Paul said: "compare me to the Sequoias of the world, our DPI and IRR. And let's see who does better over the next five years." 00:14:55 One of the Chainsmokers described the limit of fame in fundraising: an institutional principal says "I'm not about to, like, invest in the Chainsmokers Fund. Because, like, you'll be the first thing that will be pointed out to me if something goes wrong... I'll be back next fund with numbers that will make you regret this decision." 00:39:01 Friedberg supported this: "investors... have an extremely short memory for everything other than returns." 00:40:08
Bubble Signals in Late-Stage Venture
A Chainsmokers partner pointed to a specific mechanical sign of froth: "these double, triple tranche deals that are happening right now... the guy piling on that second tranche is paying a significant markup, sometimes two or three X what the company is initially valued at, for absolutely no change in underlying performance." 00:50:56 Chamath responded: "That's bubble market behavior, by the way. When you see that, that's when you take a little note." 00:51:22 Another signal came with the quip that "there is so much liquidity going into everything right now... it's not just about riding in a company that you know is going to get marked up just by virtue of the people involved." 00:40:15
Redefining the Unicorn: Revenue, Not Valuation
Chamath proposed that the unit of success has shifted from paper value to revenue: "being a unicorn now really should be redefined, not on the valuation, on the revenue. I consider unicorns a billion in revenue... we have one company that's just hit $700 million in revenue." 00:50:39 A Chainsmoker reinforced the scale shift: "saying the word billion, even like 12 years ago... was like the thing you had said where you're like, will you lick the pavement and I'll give you like a billion dollars." 00:50:24
Concentration and Follow-On Are the Real Venture Skill
The Chainsmokers admit to learning the discipline of concentrating in winners. One said: "On the follow-on piece, it's all about concentrating in your winners. I think that's a skill that takes time to learn and experience to have the balls to know what that is. I want to credit Brian Singerman to like lecturing me for like two hours once about the importance of follow-on." 00:47:22 Friedberg highlighted the structural fix at Founders Fund: "they force you to find the one in the portfolio and say, great, we're going to put 25% of the capital in it. Every fund." 00:47:59
Venture-Growth Hybridization via SPVs and Liquidity Matching
Chamath described how a multi-LP base lets one firm run early and late strategies simultaneously: "you'll curate a bunch of LPs. We have a bunch of family offices who want to do late stage... we had early stage investors who invested sub $10 million who wanted some liquidity... we had so many late stage funds that wanted to buy it." 00:49:19 His conclusion: "you could have a very nice late stage business with just the top 10 people." 00:50:14
The Music Business Is Being Unbundled, Mirroring Venture
The Chainsmokers draw an explicit parallel between label deals and venture. One said: "I'm honestly, like, very interested to see who will be that, like, first brand new artist that sort of rejects all the typical, you know, customary things... Like, signing with a label and, you know, signing away your next five albums." 00:27:43 The scale of the supply problem: "there are 300,000 songs being uploaded to Spotify every day... if we started over today, I have no idea how we would do it." 00:25:25
2. Contrarian Perspectives
Politics Is the Next Act, and Future Politicians Will Be Native Creators
Jake Paul predicts that the next generation of elected officials will win through built-in audiences, not party machinery. He said: "I believe that the future people in office will have a natural built in following that they can talk to. I think I've been saying that for five years. And then recently Spencer Pratt comes along..." 00:18:22 He argued that even Trump was a traditional celebrity, not a social-media native, and singled out creators like Nick Shirley as future leaders who "will have that built in following and be able to capture the vote." 00:18:50
"Celebrity Investor" Is an Insulting Category
Jake Paul rejects the label as a diminishing frame. He said: "If a lawyer is an investor, they don't call them a lawyer investor... So that like I'm a celebrity, but they call me a celebrity investor. It's like, no, compare me to the Sequoias of the world." 00:14:55 The contrarian claim is that attention is a legitimate, underwriteable edge, not a gimmick.
The Best Advice for a Celebrity Wanting to Invest in Venture: Don't
Asked what advice they'd give a famous Hollywood person, a Chainsmoker said: "I would ask them if they paid off their mortgage first... venture is probably the last frontier to begin investing in, in my opinion, because it is long duration, illiquid assets generally." 00:37:37 His partner added the power-law warning: "top 5% generate 90% of returns... it's brutal out here." 00:37:52
Great Investors Often Have No Priors in the Asset Class
Friedberg floated that expertise can be a handicap. He said: "When you look at the great investors of an asset class, it is usually the case that they have no priors in that asset class. You know, Mike Moritz was a journalist, right? John Doerr was, you know, Intel chip sales." 00:44:31 He grounded it in his own Robinhood miss: "it violated too many priors for me, and I just couldn't get around it... that's a billion-dollar mistake." 00:42:16 A Chainsmoker agreed: "we don't invest in any music apps or anything related. It's almost too close." 00:42:49
Don't Lead; Be the "Sixth Man"
Against the grain of venture's lead-or-die status game, the Chainsmokers' firm deliberately avoids leads. One said: "We don't take lead positions. We like being the sixth man of the year on these teams. It's sort of like I think of ourselves as, like, Robert Horry... you don't have to be Shaquille O'Neal on every team." 00:33:51
3. Companies Identified
MVP (Most Valuable Promotions)
Jake Paul's combat-sports company, now with roughly 400 boxing and MMA fighters and merged with PFL. Mentioned as his attempt to build the Pepsi to the UFC's Coke by paying fighters more and letting them keep sponsorships. Jake Paul said: "we have 400 fighters boxing MMA under MVP. And we're going after Dana White, Sufa Boxing, and the UFC." 00:10:00 Also: "we just merged with PFL. And it's going to be a very exciting next couple of years." 00:11:23
Team 10
Jake Paul's original startup, a social-media talent label and content-house operation. Mentioned as the template he later reused. Jake Paul said: "I'd find talent, sign them to my company, Team 10, and help them blow up. And I created 20 or more people with millions and millions of followers and revolutionized the content house." 00:07:28
UFC
Dominant MMA league cited as the incumbent with a structural weakness. Jake Paul said: "they pay their fighters roughly 15% of their total revenue. Which in other professional sports leagues, it's 50%... Sean O'Malley got paid 600K on the White House card." 00:10:37
PFL (Professional Fighters League)
MMA league that merged with MVP. Mentioned as the vehicle for competing with the UFC. Jake Paul said: "And we just merged with PFL." 00:11:23
Vine
Short-form video platform that died after refusing to pay its top creators. Mentioned as a lesson in platform power. Jake Paul said: "we told the top 20 Viners told Vine, hey, you have to start paying us... They said, no. We all stopped posting on the platform... And within a couple of months, the Vine died out." 00:03:39
OpenAI (and Sora)
Jake Paul is an investor and said he helped shape Sora's social-app concept. He said: "with OpenAI Sora. I actually was the one that told them like, hey, this could be a good idea for you to launch a social media app... And then granted them my NIL." 00:14:10
Cognition
AI coding company. Mentioned by Friedberg as part of Jake Paul's portfolio. Friedberg said: "you're an investor in OpenAI, Cognition, SpaceX." 00:11:51
SpaceX
Mentioned in Jake Paul's portfolio and by Chamath as a late-stage name that Founders Fund and Sequoia buy and sell simultaneously. Chamath said: "they're investing in companies, whether it's Stripe or SpaceX, et cetera. And they're also selling at the same time." 00:49:46
Stripe
Cited by Chamath as a late-stage company in which firms like Sequoia and Founders Fund both invest and sell. 00:50:14
Founders Fund
Venture firm praised for forcing concentration. Friedberg said: "What's brilliant about them on many dimensions, but one is they force you to find the one in the portfolio and say, great, we're going to put 25% of the capital in it." 00:47:59
Sequoia
Held up by Jake Paul as the benchmark he wants to be compared against. He said: "compare me to the Sequoias of the world, our DPI and IRR." 00:14:55 Chamath also cited Sequoia as running dual buy/sell strategies. 00:50:14
Robinhood
Retail brokerage that Chamath backed before launch and still holds. Chamath said: "Robinhood is a very special company because now you have two generations of people on it, and Vlad keeps launching the next vertical, the next vertical, the next vertical." 00:44:13 On holding: "I've never sold a share. In fact, I bought a lot of shares when it was $9 a share on the public market again." 00:43:47
Uber
Cited as a non-obvious bet that most investors passed on. Chamath said: "I introduced 21 angel investors to Travis, and 19 said no." 00:41:24 A Chainsmoker also invested in a late round: "I remember... I invested in, like, the series, like, G of Uber or something... I've made, like, 25 bucks on that investment to date." 00:31:40
Airbnb
Cited by a Chainsmoker as a non-obvious early decision: "obviously Airbnb at the time, Uber when you did it, Jason, like, that was a non-obvious decision." 00:41:06
Underdog Fantasy
Fund 1 portfolio company of the Chainsmokers' firm that produced a first proper liquidity event. A Chainsmoker said: "We actually just had one of our first proper liquidity events with a fun one company. Now shout out to Underdog Fantasy." 00:45:37
Dandy
Fund 1 portfolio company the Chainsmokers are holding long. A Chainsmoker said: "Dandy and Fund 1, which is an amazing company that continues to double every single year, just started international expansion. You're just like, I'm riding this thing till the wheels fall off." 00:46:23
Mantis (The Chainsmokers' venture firm)
Early-stage firm investing in cyber, AI, infra, deep tech, and health tech at Series A, as a non-lead. A Chainsmoker described the model: "we specialize in or focus at least across cyber, AI, infra, deep tech, and health tech. And we invest in series A stage companies. We don't take lead positions." 00:33:51 The partners were named as the two Chainsmokers, Jeff, and Drew Milan.
Hype Machine
Early viral music chart that powered the Chainsmokers' first growth hack. A Chainsmoker said: "There was this chart called Hype Machine, which was the first viral chart of the internet... how you were charted on this, the algorithm was basically how many times a certain amount of blogs posted about you." 00:25:51 The result: "we now have, like, 30 number ones on that site." 00:26:49
Tilt
Conference/crowd-funding technology by a friend of the Chainsmokers, used for touring data. A Chainsmoker said: "Our friend James created this, like, conference technology called Tilt that we used for touring data." 00:30:11
Spotify
Cited for the supply glut in music. "There are 300,000 songs being uploaded to Spotify every day." 00:25:25
Wynn (Las Vegas) / Chainsmokers Residency
Anchor of the Chainsmokers' live business. A Chainsmoker said: "We've been at the Wynn in Vegas for eight years." 00:21:13 Chamath joked that the Wynn is "your anchor LP." 00:21:26
Netflix
Streamed Jake Paul's Mike Tyson fight to 138 million viewers, per Friedberg. 00:08:00
Where Chamath's growth-architecture experience made him pattern-mismatch on Robinhood. Chamath said: "my own previous experience at Facebook and how I had helped architect its growth mechanism... it violated too many priors for me." 00:42:16
Twitter / X
Cited by Jake Paul as the template for using a platform to pump a founder's own companies. 00:12:00
YouTube, Twitch, Kick, Instagram, TikTok, Snapchat
Jake Paul used the competitive dynamic among these platforms to explain why none will unilaterally clean up clickbait content: "if YouTube stops it, then their viewership... go down. And then Twitch, Kick, Twitter, Instagram, TikTok, whatever platform is still going up." 00:06:08
Zipline, Vast, Adams (Chamath's late-stage SPV deals)
Chamath cited these as late-stage deals family offices wanted exposure to: "the zip line deal, the vast deal, the Adams deal that we did." 00:49:19
Robert Horry's championship teams (analogy)
Not a company, but the "sixth man" archetype is the Mantis operating model. 00:33:51
4. People Identified
Jake Paul
Creator-turned-boxer-turned-investor and founder of MVP and Team 10, and of the Anti-Fund (fund four). Mentioned as the guest. Quote: "I have this built-in audience of 100 million followers that followed along through every fight." 00:10:00 He claims he started angel investing at 18: "I started angel investing when I was 18 years old after I went to the Valley. Made a ton of mistakes and then formalized a fund." 00:12:00
Jeff Wu
Jake Paul's investing partner. Named by Friedberg and confirmed by Jake Paul: "Jeff Wu." 00:12:00
Alex Pall and Drew Taggart (The Chainsmokers)
Electronic-music duo and cofounders of Mantis. Mentioned as multi-platinum artists who moved into venture. Quote: "Alex had started the Chainsmokers with a different guy, and they had a falling out... Alex was like, I want to find... another person." 00:21:53 Alex's growth hack: "he would write them these hilarious emails, like super personalized, gave them about where they went to school." 00:26:19
Elon Musk
Cited as the model for using attention as a capital-formation tool. Jake Paul said: "the first suggested follow is Elon pumping all of his companies through that. Very smart, obviously." 00:12:00
Sam Altman ("Sams of the world")
Referenced indirectly as one of the "best founders in the world" in Jake Paul's growth-stage lane: "best founders in the world with the Sams of the world, Palmers of the world." 00:15:35
Palmer Luckey ("Palmers of the world")
Referenced indirectly in the same quote as a founder Jake Paul wants to back. 00:15:35
Dana White
UFC president, Jake Paul's named competitive target. 00:10:00
Mike Tyson
Opponent in Jake Paul's Netflix fight, which drew 138 million viewers. 00:08:00
Sean O'Malley
UFC fighter cited as an example of underpayment: "Sean O'Malley got paid 600K on the White House card." 00:10:37
Spencer Pratt
Cited by Jake Paul as the first recent example of a traditional celebrity entering politics. 00:18:22
Nick Shirley
Creator Jake Paul thinks "should be in office doing something at some point." 00:18:50
Donald Trump
Cited as probably the first celebrity-politician, though not a social-media native. 00:18:22
Travis Kalanick
Uber founder, whom Chamath's angel group backed. Chamath said: "I introduced 21 angel investors to Travis, and 19 said no. Three said yes. Me, Sine, Bannister, and First Round Capital." 00:41:24
Vlad Tenev
Robinhood cofounder. Chamath said: "when I met Vlad and his partner... All I thought to myself is, these guys are extraordinary. They're so smart, and they're quants." 00:43:18 And: "Execution cannot be faked." 00:44:31
Brian Singerman
Founders Fund partner credited for teaching follow-on discipline. A Chainsmoker said: "I want to credit Brian Singerman to like lecturing me for like two hours once about the importance of follow-on." 00:47:50
Mike Moritz and John Doerr
Cited by Friedberg as great investors with no priors in the asset class. "Mike Moritz was a journalist... John Doerr was... Intel chip sales." 00:44:31
Brian Chesky, Drew Houston, Michael Seibel, and the Khan brothers
Founders the Chainsmokers met early that pulled them toward serious investing. A Chainsmoker said: "we were, like, meeting great founders like Brian Chesky and Drew Houston and Michael Seibel and the Khan brothers." 00:31:11
Shaquille O'Neal and Robert Horry
Basketball analogy for lead vs. role-player investing: "I think of ourselves as, like, Robert Horry... you don't have to be Shaquille O'Neal on every team." 00:33:51
Drew Milan
Named as a Mantis partner: "me, Jeff, Drew Milan founded it." 00:33:51
James (Tilt founder)
Friend of the Chainsmokers who created the Tilt technology. 00:30:41
5. Operating Insights
Collective Bargaining Against a Platform You Feed
Jake Paul's Vine story is a tactical lesson in organizing supply-side leverage. The top 20 creators coordinated, set a number ("a million dollars each per year"), and walked, accepting that the platform would die. He said: "We all stopped posting on the platform, transitioned to posting on Facebook, YouTube, and Snapchat. And within a couple of months, the Vine died out." 00:04:08 The takeaway for operators is to be clear about whether you are the product feeding someone else's network effect, and to know your BATNA before you demand terms.
Hyper-Personalized Outreach to the Gatekeeper Layer, Not the Brand Layer
The Chainsmokers' early growth came from identifying who the real gatekeepers were (college-kid bloggers) and writing to them as individuals. A Chainsmoker said: "he found every kid that wrote for every blog that they pulled music from... he would write them these hilarious emails, like super personalized... Because what he realized is all these kids are college kids that want to be closer to artists. And, you know, all these labels that are sending these blanket, boring promotional emails, it was uninspiring." 00:26:19 The tactic is to map the nodes that feed the algorithm and win them with relevance competitors don't bother with.
Convert Your Distribution Into Portfolio Support Through Concrete Favors
The Chainsmokers made their brand useful in non-financial, specific ways. One described a founder asking for an intro: "Actually, yes. We played their company party three days ago. That's no problem." 00:34:21 Their approach to investing is to show up as a hands-on partner rather than a passive check: "We wanted to be hands-on and, like, sort of take matters into our own hands." 00:31:11
Watch Demand Around Price-Setting as an Exit Signal
A Chainsmoker described a discipline for deciding when to hold or sell: "it's interesting to watch the demand before around and then the price gets set. And then the feeling around that company at that new price. And then either the demand sort of builds again or it kind of stays where it is." 00:46:53 Pair this with secondary-market inbound as a live read on appetite.
Pre-Commit Structurally to Concentration
Rather than relying on conviction in the moment, Friedberg recommended encoding concentration into fund rules: "You can architect it into your fund... You've got to find one." 00:47:59 A Chainsmoker said the hard part is the leverage and willingness to embed with a company to win the allocation: "I'm actually going to become an employee of this company for the next three months and... have the leverage to convince them to basically put that size of check in." 00:48:24
6. Overlooked Insights
Chamath's Quiet Disclosure About Selling Into Strength on Early Positions
In passing, Chamath described a cap-table maneuver: "We had a company that broke out... We had early stage investors who invested sub $10 million who wanted some liquidity... We were modest sellers. And then we had so many late stage funds that wanted to buy it. We were also buying at the latest round at $500, $600 million." 00:49:19 The insight is that a firm can be a simultaneous seller to early LPs and buyer for late LPs, matching liquidity needs across its own LP base, and it is the real mechanism behind the "venture-growth hybrid" he predicts.
The Chainsmokers Quietly Admit "75% of the Business Model" Is Not Returns
A Chainsmoker said, almost as an aside: "it's like we've made 75% of the business model, but like we really need to get, you know, the cash back to our investors. Otherwise, none of this really matters at the end of the day." 00:45:53 In the same breath they note that Fund 1 and 2 LPs "are not here really generally to play it safe with us," which gives them "a little bit of more liberty to like ride out the winners." 00:45:53 The implication is that LP-base selection (risk-tolerant early believers) is a hidden lever on follow-on and hold-period strategy, and that fee/carry economics are mostly latent until DPI shows up.
Jake Paul's Fund Deploys Faster Than It Raises, and He's Already on Fund Four
Easy to miss: Jake Paul said his fund "already deployed that fund. We were raising and deploying at the same time... we're onto fund four now" 00:15:35 after Friedberg noted "you just raised $100 million for that fund." 00:14:44 That pace, a rapid cadence of funds built on attention-driven deal flow, is itself a signal of how aggressively founders are letting a creator onto the cap table and how fast distribution-led networks can compound capital formation.