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HOME/PEOPLE/AJEYA COTRA
// PERSON

Ajeya Cotra

ROLE AI FORECASTERAT METRMENTIONS 4LAST SEEN AUGUST 31, 2026
// BIO

Ajeya Cotra is a researcher and member of the technical staff at METR, where she works on threat modeling and risk assessment for loss-of-control risks from advanced AI. She previously spent nearly a decade at Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy), where she led technical AI safety grantmaking and distributed approximately $25 million in grants to empirical AI safety research. She is best known for her influential work on AI timelines, capability evaluations, and threat modeling, including an early and widely cited report on the arrival of transformative AI.

Discussed in
// RECENT MENTIONS
// SIGNALS
4 SIGNALS
01
mention·Dwarkesh·SEPTEMBER 1, 2026

Ajeya Cotra, who is one of the authors in an independent investigation that was published by Meter and Redwood Research into the swarm of agents that hacked into Hugging Face.

Source
02
mention·Jack Clark from Import AI·AUGUST 31, 2026

This incident feels like it's more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover, routing through first taking over the AI company itself.

Source
03
mention·Jack Clark from Import AI·JUNE 22, 2026

AI systems integrated with physical infrastructure — factories, mines, fabs, robots to operate all of those — such that they don't need any cognitive or physical inputs from human labor to keep growing their own population.

04
mention·Jack Clark from Import AI·MAY 4, 2026

Ajeya Cotra, a longtime AI forecaster who works at METR, thinks it isn't unreasonable to expect AI systems to do tasks that take ~100 hours by the end of 2026.

Source

AI-extracted from podcast / newsletter / paper summaries. May contain errors.