Basil Halperin

Basil Halperin is an assistant professor of economics at the University of Virginia and a digital fellow at the Stanford Digital Economy Lab. He is a macroeconomist whose research focuses on monetary economics and the economics of artificial intelligence. He is best known for his paper "Transformative AI, Existential Risk, and Real Interest Rates," co-authored with Trevor Chow and J. Zachary Mazlish, which argues that the prospect of transformative AI would predict a large increase in long-term real interest rates and that monitoring those rates can serve as a framework for forecasting AI timelines.