Nate Silver
Nate Silver is an American statistician and political analyst who founded the data journalism site FiveThirtyEight and currently publishes the newsletter Silver Bulletin. He is best known for developing statistical forecasting models that accurately predicted the outcomes of 49 of 50 states in the 2008 U.S. presidential election and correctly called every U.S. Senate race in 2012. He also created the PECOTA baseball projection system and serves as an advisor to the prediction market platform Polymarket.
“Democrats are facing a very unpopular president, an economy that voters have a lot of anxiety about... the very, very long history of the president's party drawing a backlash and performing poorly at the midterms... I think the partisan gravity is more likely than not just too much for Trump to overcome.”
Source→AI-extracted from podcast / newsletter / paper summaries. May contain errors.