Polymarket

“SpaceX surpasses TSMC to become the world's 6th most valuable company, with a 3% probability on Polymarket of becoming the largest company by year-end.”

“Prediction market participants currently assign the highest probability to a first-day valuation landing between $2 trillion and $2.5 trillion. The forecast reflects expectations around scale, scarcity, and investor demand ahead of any future public listing.”

“Endpoint Arena created a polymarket essentially just for betting on... prediction markets, which are typically higher accuracy than individual experts because you get the wisdom of the crowds that have skin in the game.”