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HOME/ALL IN/Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War…
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// EPISODE
ALL IN

Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race

DATE April 8, 2026SOURCE ALL INPARTICIPANTS DAVID SACKS, JASON CALACANIS, JOSH SHAPIRO
// KEY TAKEAWAYS3 ITEMS
  1. 01Pennsylvania as a Proof-of-Concept for Moderate Democratic Governance
  2. 02Government Speed as Economic Policy
  3. 03The Iran War as Political Inflection Point

1. Key Themes

Pennsylvania as a Proof-of-Concept for Moderate Democratic Governance

Shapiro presents Pennsylvania as a live counterexample to the narrative that Democrats can't govern effectively on business and economic terms. He cites job creation, tax cuts, permitting reform, crime reduction, and education investment — all achieved with a divided legislature.

"We are now the only growing economy in the northeastern part of the United States." 00:03:28

"We've cut taxes seven different times to be more competitive, cut taxes for small businesses, also for families trying to afford childcare, for seniors, for working Pennsylvanians." 00:03:02

Government Speed as Economic Policy

Shapiro makes a compelling and underappreciated argument: permitting speed is itself a form of economic stimulus. The barber example is particularly sharp — bureaucratic delay has a direct dollar cost on working people.

"I called my barber. I asked him, said, how many heads do you cut a day? He said about 10 a day at 20 bucks a pop, 200 bucks a day for 20 days. That's real money. That's thousands of dollars that we're putting into that barber's pocket just because we got them their permit more quickly." 00:07:00

"If I can give you as a CEO predictability to know your business is going to be open in six months instead of three years because the permit took too long, then you're going to want to invest here." 00:05:38

The Iran War as Political Inflection Point

Shapiro frames the Iran war as a defining broken promise that has fractured Trump's coalition — from Tucker Carlson to podcast supporters — and argues it was entered without defined objectives, which makes exit impossible.

"If you don't know why you're going in, you don't know how the hell to get out. You don't know how to instruct the military... He never defined the mission." 00:56:11

"America should never be led around by any other nation. It should always be about America's interests, our national security interests... We should never, ever be bullied as maybe President Trump was by any other world leader." 00:57:50


2. Contrarian Perspectives

Government Dysfunction Creates Extremism — Not the Other Way Around

Most analysts blame political extremism for government dysfunction. Shapiro flips this: slow, unresponsive government creates the cynicism that feeds extremist movements. Fix the bureaucracy and you reduce the oxygen for radicalism.

"When that happens, I think that creates more distrust in our system and it creates more opportunity for, I think, frankly, dark voices on extremes to come in and take advantage of people. I find that if we get it done the right way, if we process things quickly, if we get people to yes, then maybe a byproduct of that is a little bit less cynicism in our system." 00:09:39

Removing the College Degree Requirement from Government Jobs Is Transformative Policy

Most politicians talk about vocational education in the abstract. Shapiro actually did it — on day one — for 80,000 state employees. This is a radical structural move disguised as a procedural one, and it's getting almost no national attention relative to its significance.

"The first executive order I signed was to do away with the college degree requirement to work for state government. We have 80,000 employees. Now 60 percent, six zero, 60 percent of all of our hires in state government don't have a college degree." 00:34:30

Netanyahu Is the Root Cause of Israel's Vulnerability, Not Its Protector

Against the conventional narrative that Netanyahu is Israel's strongest defender, Shapiro argues he has actively weakened Israel by isolating it globally and fracturing bipartisan American support.

"I think Netanyahu, the leader of Israel, is someone who's been leading Israel down a dangerous and isolated path. I think he has made Israel more isolated in the world community. He has fractured really what used to be a nonpartisan or bipartisan American support for Israel. And I think he has put Israel in a very dangerous place." 00:51:55

Congress Is Pathetic for Voluntarily Giving Away Its Power

Most criticism of Congress focuses on gridlock. Shapiro's more damning critique is the opposite: Congress is failing not by blocking the president but by enthusiastically surrendering its constitutional authority to him, regardless of party.

"When the Congress of the United States walks away from their responsibilities, whether on tariffs or whether on declaring war and ultimately just kind of empower the president... Then what you've really done is you've limited the power of the Congress. And what you've really done is you've seen a whole bunch of people that put Donald Trump before the oath of office they take to the Constitution. And I think that's just pathetic." 00:39:50

The Iran Regime Change May Have Made Things Worse

Conventional wisdom frames the Iran strikes as a strategic win. Shapiro challenges this directly — the new Ayatollah is reportedly more hardline than the one replaced, making "regime change" a net negative outcome.

"We went from like an 80-something year old Ayatollah to a 60-something year old Ayatollah, who, by all accounts, seems to be far more hardline. I'd hardly call that successful regime change." 00:55:46


3. Companies Identified

No specific companies were mentioned for their excellence in this episode.


4. People Identified

Josh Shapiro

Governor of Pennsylvania, former state Attorney General. Mentioned throughout as the subject of the interview. Highlighted for 60%+ approval rating, record permitting reform, job creation ranking (top 3 nationally), Medicaid fraud prosecution leadership, and crime reduction (violent crime down 12%, fatal gun violence down 42%).

"We are now the only growing economy in the northeastern part of the United States." 00:03:28

"We've had more Medicaid fraud prosecutions in Pennsylvania than I think any other state — maybe there was one other. We're certainly toward the top of that list." 00:12:17


5. Operating Insights

The Money-Back Guarantee as a Bureaucratic Accountability Tool

Shapiro's permitting reform includes a money-back guarantee if permits aren't issued on time. This is a remarkable operational mechanism: it creates a hard SLA enforced by financial penalty, applicable to any organization that processes applications or approvals. Of 40 million permits issued, only five refunds were triggered.

"We've got a money back guarantee on all of our permits. If we don't get you your permit in time, we'll give your money back. We've issued 40 million permits during my time as governor. We've only had to issue five refunds, meaning only five of those permits were late." 00:03:28

Reframe Internal Culture Around "Getting to Yes"

Shapiro explicitly reoriented his government's default posture from compliance/gatekeeping to problem-solving. This is directly applicable to any organization where internal teams (legal, compliance, finance) are structured to say no rather than find a path forward.

"When you come into our state government to get your permit... we want to get to yes. We still want to protect the environment and public health and public safety. And we do that. But we want to get to yes. So our attitude has shifted." 00:05:38

Find the 3-4 Things You Agree On and Execute There First

Shapiro's negotiation philosophy with a divided legislature is a clean operating principle for any leader managing cross-functional or politically complex stakeholder environments: identify shared ground, execute there, and don't let disagreement on 60% block progress on 40%.

"If I threw everybody out of my office that I didn't agree with 100 percent of the time, we'd never get anything done... What are the 10 things you want to accomplish? I tell him the 10 things I want to accomplish. And you know what? We're not going to agree on all 10. But if we agree on three or four, I'd rather focus on those three or four things where we can find common ground." 00:37:30


6. Overlooked Insights

Pennsylvania's Life Sciences Sector Is a Quietly Emerging Hub Worth Watching

This was mentioned only briefly and in passing, but Shapiro flags a specific phenomenon: Pennsylvania's tax and permitting environment is helping life sciences startups survive the "valley of death" — the early-stage period when most biotech/life science companies fail. This is a non-obvious investment signal. Pennsylvania is not typically on the list of top life sciences ecosystems (vs. Boston, San Diego, San Francisco), but deliberate state policy may be shifting that.

"Particularly when it comes to life sciences, we're seeing people plant a flag here in Pennsylvania... because of our tax environment in Pennsylvania, because of our pro-growth approach in Pennsylvania, we're seeing more of those small businesses, more of those small companies, especially in life sciences, survive that sort of valley where a lot of those companies go out of business and sustain themselves here." 00:15:43

Shapiro Volunteered to Remove Himself from the VP Process — This Is Underreported

Shapiro firmly corrects the widely-reported narrative that Harris didn't pick him because of his Jewish faith. He states clearly that he called Sunday evening and withdrew his own name before she made her decision. If true, this fundamentally changes the political story — and suggests Shapiro had a strategic reason to stay in Pennsylvania that he has not fully disclosed, likely protecting his own 2028 positioning.

"I called Sunday evening after she and I met and had a really candid conversation to inform her that I did not want to be considered. I thought she had some really good people to choose from." 00:24:55